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Poll: Ohio Dems in Trouble

Printed From: Main Street Monroe
Category: Voice Forums
Forum Name: Political Voice
Forum Description: Regional and national political opinions
URL: http://voice.mainstreetmonroe.com/forum_posts.asp?TID=3494
Printed Date: Aug 15 2018 at 5:10pm


Topic: Poll: Ohio Dems in Trouble
Posted By: John Beagle
Subject: Poll: Ohio Dems in Trouble
Date Posted: Jun 11 2018 at 8:43am
A new poll conducted by America First Action Super PAC, President Donald Trump’s official Super PAC, shows that Democrats in Ohio are in serious trouble of losing their re-election bids while House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi proves to be an anchor on her party’s November chances.

The poll perhaps most surprisingly shows incumbent Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) in danger of potentially losing to GOP Senate nominee Rep. Jim Renacci (R-OH). The survey shows Brown, who was thought to be safe without a serious chance of losing in November, only leading Renacci by 4 points–inside the poll’s margin of error. The statistical tie between Renacci and Brown in this key rust belt state means the populist Brown is going to have a fight on his hands from Renacci and the GOP, as this key rust belt state that voted overwhelmingly–more than 8 percent–for Trump over Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton in the 2016 presidential election is heating up.

In the survey, Brown is at 45 percent while Renacci is at 41 percent with 10 percent “firmly undecided.” The survey of 400 respondents conducted from May 29 to May 31 using a combination of landlines, cell phones, and internet responses has a margin of error of 4.9 percent. The survey includes 41 percent Republicans including leaners, 40 percent Democrats including leaners, and 19 percent independents.

The fact that this race is close certainly troubles Democrats. Republicans already have solid shots at Senate pickups in a bunch of other states like West Virginia where pro-Trump conservative Republican Attorney General Patrick Morrisey faces Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin, Montana where pro-Trump conservative Republican Matt Rosendale faces Democratic Sen. Jon Tester, and other states like Missouri, North Dakota, Florida, and many more. Ohio was previously thought to be a lock for Brown, but this new data opens up the map for the GOP meaning national Democrats will probably have to flood the Buckeye State to protect one of their most important incumbents in Brown.

Democrats fare even worse in the governor’s race, as GOP nominee and former U.S. Sen. Mike DeWine–the GOP nominee for governor–leads Democrat nominee former director of the since-renamed Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) Richard Cordray by seven points. That lead is well outside the margin of error. DeWine, at 45 percent, leads Cordray, who is down at 38 percent. There are 10 percent undecided.



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The privilege of a lifetime is being who you are.
-Joseph Campbell



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